Finance

J.P. Morgan sees only one BoE rate hike in 2026 after Bailey's Reuters interview

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 1, 2026

1 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

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J.P. Morgan sees only one BoE rate hike in 2026 after Bailey's Reuters interview
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April 1 (Reuters) - J.P. Morgan on Wednesday said it now expected only one Bank of England interest rate hike this year after Governor Andrew Bailey told Reuters that financial markets had been too

J.P. Morgan Forecasts One Bank of England Rate Hike in 2026 After Bailey Interview

J.P. Morgan Revises Bank of England Rate Hike Expectations

Background on Rate Hike Projections

April 1 (Reuters) - J.P. Morgan on Wednesday said it now expected only one Bank of England interest rate hike this year after Governor Andrew Bailey told Reuters that financial markets had been too aggressive in pricing in higher borrowing costs.

Previous Forecasts and Adjustments

The U.S. bank had previously expected two increases in Bank Rate, in April and July.

Insights from J.P. Morgan Economist

"Bailey's comments suggest April is too soon for a majority for a hike to develop, and we now shift to expecting one hike in June," J.P. Morgan economist Allan Monks said, adding that he continued to expect two rate cuts in 2027.

(Reporting by Andy Bruce; editing by David Milliken)

Key Takeaways

  • J.P. Morgan downgraded its 2026 BoE rate‑hike outlook from two to one, shifting timing to June after Governor Bailey’s comments to Reuters (investinglive.com).
  • The bank retains expectations for two rate cuts in 2027, indicating a more gradual easing path following the upcoming hike (investinglive.com).
  • Market analysts had earlier priced in two BoE hikes this year, but J.P. Morgan’s revision reflects renewed caution amid inflation and energy‑price dynamics (investing.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How many Bank of England rate hikes does J.P. Morgan expect in 2026?
J.P. Morgan now expects only one Bank of England rate hike in 2026.
When does J.P. Morgan expect the next BoE rate hike?
J.P. Morgan now predicts the next Bank of England rate hike will occur in June 2026.
Does J.P. Morgan expect any BoE rate cuts?
J.P. Morgan continues to expect two rate cuts in 2027.
Who changed J.P. Morgan's BoE rate hike outlook?
J.P. Morgan economist Allan Monks announced the updated forecast.

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