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Oil prices rise 3% as US and Iran extend talks into next week

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 27, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

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Oil prices rise 3% as US and Iran extend talks into next week
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By Anna Hirtenstein LONDON, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose about 3% on Friday as traders remained on alert for potential supply disruptions after the United States and Iran extended nuclear talks.

By Erwin Seba

HOUSTON, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose about 2% on Friday with traders bracing for supply disruptions as nuclear talks between the United States and Iran had yet to reach an agreement.     

Brent crude futures settled at $72.48 a barrel, up $1.73, or 2.45%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude finished at $67.02 a barrel, up $1.81, or 2.78%.

The two sides agreed to extend indirect negotiations into next week but traders grew skeptical that an agreement between U.S. President Donald Trump's administration and Iran was possible.

"The likelihood Iran is going to agree to what the Trump administration wants doesn't seem possible," said Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures Group. "There's got to be an endgame to this and the market seems to think that's where we are headed."

OIL BENCHMARKS ON TRACK FOR WEEKLY GAINS

The Brent and WTI benchmarks were trading at their highest since July and August, respectively, and were poised to register weekly gains well above 1%.

"Uncertainty prevails, fear is pushing prices higher today," said Tamas Varga, an oil analyst at brokerage PVM. "It is completely driven by the outcome of the Iranian nuclear talks and possible military action the U.S. might take against Iran."

The United States and Iran held indirect talks in Geneva on Thursday after Trump ordered a military buildup in the region. 

Oil prices gained more than a dollar a barrel during the talks, on media reports indicating that discussions had stalled over U.S. insistence on zero enrichment of uranium by Iran. However, prices eased after the Omani mediator said the two sides had made progress.

They plan to resume negotiations with technical-level discussions scheduled next week in Vienna, Omani Foreign Minister Sayyid Badr Albusaidi said on X.

"We think the latest round of talks offers some hope on chances of a peaceful resolution, but military strikes are in no way out of the equation," said DBS analyst Suvro Sarkar. 

Trump said on February 19 that Iran must make a deal over its nuclear programme within 10 to 15 days or "really bad things" will happen.

Geopolitical risk premiums of $8 to $10 a barrel have been built into oil prices on fears that a conflict will disrupt Middle East supply through the Strait of Hormuz, where about 20% of global oil supply passes, Sarkar said.

To cushion the impact from a possible strike, UAE oil producer Abu Dhabi is set to export more of its flagship Murban crude in April, two trade sources said on Friday. Earlier this week, other sources said Saudi Arabia would also increase oil production.

Additionally, Saudi Arabia may raise its April crude price to Asia for the first time in five months due to higher demand from India to replace Russian supplies, potentially raising it by about $1 a barrel.

Producer group OPEC+, meanwhile, is likely to consider raising oil output by 137,000 barrels per day for April at its March 1 meeting, sources said, after suspending production increases in the first quarter.

(Reporting by Erwin Seba, Anna Hirtenstein, Florence Tan and Nicole Jao; Editing by Rod Nickel)

Key Takeaways

  • Geopolitical risk premium is back in focus: the Oman-mediated U.S.-Iran talks made “significant progress” but ended without a deal, with technical discussions slated for Vienna next week—leaving the market pricing in the possibility of escalation. (marketwatch.com)
  • A disruption at the Strait of Hormuz would be a major global supply shock: roughly ~20 million bpd transited the waterway in 2024—about 27% of global maritime oil trade and ~20% of world petroleum liquids consumption—making even short-lived threats or incidents highly price-sensitive. (congress.gov)
  • Supply-side counterweights are emerging: OPEC+ is expected to weigh a ~137,000 bpd April increase at its March 1 meeting, while Gulf exporters have been increasing crude exports as a contingency against conflict-related disruptions. (finance.yahoo.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did oil prices rise about 3% on Friday?
Prices rose as traders priced in potential supply disruptions amid uncertainty around US-Iran nuclear talks and the possibility of military action.
What were the latest Brent and WTI prices reported in the article?
Brent crude futures were up $2.09 to $72.84 a barrel, while U.S. WTI rose $2.33 to $67.54 by 1422 GMT.
Where and when will US-Iran talks resume?
The sides plan to resume negotiations with technical-level discussions scheduled next week in Vienna, according to Omani Foreign Minister Sayyid Badr Albusaidi.
How much oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and what risk premium is mentioned?
About 20% of global oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and a geopolitical risk premium of $8 to $10 a barrel has built into prices.
What output increase is OPEC+ likely to consider for April?
OPEC+ is likely to consider raising oil output by 137,000 barrels per day for April at its March 1 meeting, sources said.

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