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Qualcomm quarterly forecast underwhelms, but CEO says worst of memory crunch over 

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 29, 2026

4 min read

· Last updated: April 29, 2026

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Qualcomm quarterly forecast underwhelms, but CEO says worst of memory crunch over 

Qualcomm Quarterly Forecast Misses Estimates as Memory Chip Crunch Hits Hard

By Zaheer Kachwala and Stephen Nellis

Qualcomm Faces Revenue Pressure Amid Global Memory Chip Shortage

SAN FRANCISCO, April 29 (Reuters) - Qualcomm forecast third-quarter revenue and adjusted profit below Wall Street expectations on Wednesday, as the chipmaker braces for a hit to demand stemming from a shortage of memory chips used in consumer electronics.

CEO Perspective and Market Outlook

But in an interview with Reuters, Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon said the company was confident that the smartphone market will start to rebound after its fiscal third quarter.

Insights from Licensing Business

"We can now call the bottom," Amon said, adding that the company's licensing business, which beat Wall Street estimates, gives it insights into smartphone makers' plans for later in the year.

Financial Forecasts and Performance

Revenue and Profit Projections

The company expects revenue of between $9.2 billion and $10 billion, a range entirely below estimates of $10.27 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG. 

Key Customers and Market Position

Qualcomm is one of the largest smartphone semiconductor firms in the world, counting major players such as Apple and Samsung as customers, as well as major Chinese phone brands.

But this year, the company has faced extreme uncertainty from smartphone customers as a surge in prices of memory chips have also led to increases in smartphone and PC costs, prompting consumers to cut back on purchases. 

It forecast third-quarter adjusted profit of between $2.10 and $2.30 per share, compared with estimates of $2.45 per share.

The company reported second-quarter revenue of $10.6 billion, in line with expectations.

Industry Trends and Market Impact

Global smartphone shipments declined 6% in the first three months of the year amid the memory crunch, according to Counterpoint Research, which added that the shortages may last until late next year.  

Due to its large exposure to the consumer electronics segment by virtue of selling chips for wireless headphones and automotive computing systems in addition to phones, Qualcomm's results are seen as a barometer for the market's health and an indicator for demand and supply dynamics.

Regional and Segment-Specific Effects

The Chinese handset market is expected to deal more of a blow to Qualcomm as local manufacturers saw a downturn in sales due to the memory chip crunch. Lower-to-mid-tier devices are also expected to be more severely affected rather than premium device makers. 

The company's shares have fallen around 10% so far this year after rising over 11% in 2025, as investors grapple with the impact of a tight memory market driven by demand from AI data centers. 

Last month, Qualcomm unveiled a $20 billion stock buyback program to reassure investors amid the demand downturn.

Diversification and Future Growth Initiatives

Expansion into Data Center Chips

In addition to smartphones, Qualcomm is working to break into the booming data center chip market, which it will start shipping products for before the end of the year.

Amon on Wednesday said the company is working with customers on three kinds of chips: central processor units (CPUs), accelerators for inference, and custom chips called ASICs, a booming market for rivals such as Broadcom and Marvell.

Custom ASIC Development

"We have engagement on a custom ASIC, which is what we wanted to do when we bought AlphaWave," Amon said, "and now we have a lot of connectivity (intellectual property) that enables us to do that. We're executing on all three" categories of chips. 

Analyst Expectations and Segment Performance

The growing usage of chips in smartphones and PCs spurred by a shift to premium and AI-powered devices is expected to benefit companies such as Qualcomm in the form of higher chip revenue, analysts have said.

   Second-quarter revenue for Qualcomm's chip segment was $9.08 billion, missing estimates of $9.21 billion.

The company forecast third-quarter chip revenue of between $7.9 billion and $8.5 billion, below estimates of $8.93 billion. 

(Reporting by Zaheer Kachwala in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila)

Key Takeaways

  • Qualcomm’s Q3 revenue guidance of $9.2–10.0 billion and EPS of $2.10–2.30 falls below LSEG’s $10.27 billion and $2.45 estimates, signaling continued headwinds from memory‑driven demand weakness. (kiplinger.com)
  • CEO Cristiano Amon said in a Reuters interview that the company can now “call the bottom” in the smartphone market, backed by stronger‑than‑expected performance in its licensing unit and expectations of a rebound in handset demand. (kiplinger.com)
  • Memory chip shortages—driven by high demand from AI data centers—have depressed global smartphone shipments (down ~6% in Q1 and projected to fall ~12–13% in 2026), and stretched into 2027. Qualcomm’s $20 billion buyback and dividend hike underscore management’s confidence amid this downturn. (telecoms.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What has Qualcomm's CEO said about the outlook for the smartphone market?
CEO Cristiano Amon stated that Qualcomm believes the worst of the memory crunch is over and expects a rebound in the smartphone market after Q3.
How important is Qualcomm's licensing business to its results?
The licensing business provides insights into smartphone makers’ future plans and performed better than expected this quarter.
What steps is Qualcomm taking to reassure investors amid the downturn?
Qualcomm unveiled a $20 billion stock buyback program to reassure investors in response to decreased demand due to memory shortages.
How does Qualcomm plan to diversify its chip business?
Qualcomm is developing chips for data centers, including CPUs, accelerators, and custom ASICs, to capture growth in the AI and connectivity markets.

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