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Sterling ticks higher as lower oil prices temper inflation concerns

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 10, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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Sterling ticks higher as lower oil prices temper inflation concerns
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By Niket Nishant LONDON, March 10 (Reuters) - The pound edged higher against the dollar on Tuesday as hopes of a de-escalation in the Middle East conflict pushed oil prices lower and eased inflation

Sterling Climbs as Lower Oil Prices Ease Inflation Pressure for UK Economy

Market Movements and Economic Implications

By Niket Nishant

LONDON, March 10 (Reuters) - The pound edged higher against the dollar on Tuesday as hopes of a de-escalation in the Middle East conflict pushed oil prices lower and eased inflation concerns for Britain's import-dependent economy.

Sterling rose 0.1% to $1.3454 against the dollar. It was a touch lower versus the euro at 86.52 pence.

Investor Sentiment and Currency Performance

"The UK fundamentals are pretty poor, but in these situations you tend to see that a shakeout is followed by a recovery as investors rebalance," said Nick Kennedy, FX strategist at Lloyds.

The currency has lost 0.3% against the dollar so far this month.

Global Tensions and Market Reactions

Given the far-reaching implications for the global economy, investors remain on edge and are scanning for even the smallest signs of relief in the conflict involving the U.S., Israel and Iran.

However, conflicting signals from Washington and Tehran prompted analysts to urge caution.

Political Developments and Oil Supply Risks

While U.S. President Donald Trump hinted that the war may end sooner than his initial timeline, Iran's Revolutionary Guards were defiant, saying they would not let oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz until attacks from the U.S. and Israel stop.

Standard Chartered and Morgan Stanley now expect the Bank of England to cut interest rates in the second quarter, delaying earlier forecasts.

Other Major Currencies

Elsewhere, the euro inched up against the dollar at $1.1639, while the yen was flat at 157.77 per dollar.

Domestic Risks and Political Uncertainty

Economic Data and Political Turbulence

DOMESTIC RISKS REMAIN

Beyond the hit from higher oil prices, the pound has also been weakened by subdued economic data and domestic political turbulence in recent weeks.

"With focus squarely on the Middle East, UK domestic issues have taken a back seat," BofA Securities' strategists wrote.

"However, with the May local elections barely two months away, we think markets are underpricing a renewed rise in domestic political uncertainty."

Bond Market Response

British government bonds also looked to reclaim some ground after Monday's plunge.

The yield on the two-year gilt, which moves inversely to prices, fell 6 basis points after climbing 10.7 bps in the previous session.

(Reporting by Niket NishantEditing by Gareth Jones)

Key Takeaways

  • Pound gained on dollar as oil prices eased amid nascent signs of Middle East tensions cooling, easing inflation pressures.
  • Inflation in the UK has softened, prompting market expectations that BoE may start cutting rates in Q2 2026.
  • Despite relief from external shocks, domestic risks like weak UK fundamentals and political uncertainty ahead of May local elections persist.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did the pound rise against the dollar?
The pound rose against the dollar as lower oil prices eased inflation concerns in the UK, boosted by hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East conflict.
How have oil prices affected UK inflation?
Lower oil prices have reduced inflationary pressure in Britain's import-dependent economy, offering relief to investors.
What are investors watching in relation to the Middle East conflict?
Investors are closely monitoring for signs of relief or escalation in the Middle East conflict, as it greatly impacts global markets and oil prices.
What is the outlook for the Bank of England interest rates?
Standard Chartered and Morgan Stanley expect the Bank of England to cut interest rates in the second quarter, delaying earlier forecasts.
What domestic issues are impacting the pound?
Subdued economic data and increased political uncertainty due to the upcoming May local elections have also weakened the pound.

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