Finance

Standard Chartered sees ECB hiking rates in June

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 1, 2026

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· Last updated: May 1, 2026

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Standard Chartered sees ECB hiking rates in June

Standard Chartered Predicts June ECB Rate Hike After Hawkish Policymaker Remarks

ECB Rate Hike Expectations and Policymaker Sentiment

Standard Chartered's Revised Forecast

May 1 - Standard Chartered expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to deliver a 25 basis point rate hike in its June meeting, compared to its previous forecast of steady rates through 2026, following hawkish remarks from policymakers, it said in a note on Thursday.

Policymaker Insights and Conditions

Anonymous Policymaker Statements

Policymakers speaking to Reuters on condition of anonymity said they are likely to raise interest rates at least twice, starting in June, unless a peace deal is reached and energy prices ease.

Reporting Credit

(Reporting by Kanishka Ajmera in Bengaluru)

Key Takeaways

  • Standard Chartered has shifted from expecting stable rates through 2026 to forecasting a 25‑basis‑point ECB hike in June, reflecting a hawkish hawkish tilt.
  • Anonymous ECB insiders told Reuters they anticipate at least two rate hikes beginning in June unless energy prices fall or a peace deal materializes (investing.com).
  • Investor surveys and polls show a growing consensus for a June rate increase, with about half of economists expecting action then (za.investing.com).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What does Standard Chartered expect from the ECB in June?
Standard Chartered expects the European Central Bank to deliver a 25 basis point rate hike in its June meeting.
How many ECB rate hikes are policymakers suggesting?
Policymakers suggest at least two rate hikes starting in June, contingent on certain economic conditions.
What conditions could alter the ECB's plans for rate hikes?
A peace deal or easing energy prices could change the ECB's plan to raise interest rates.

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