Finance

UK firms' worries about economy rise by most since 2020, Lloyds survey shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 29, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 29, 2026

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UK firms' worries about economy rise by most since 2020, Lloyds survey shows

Lloyds Survey Reveals Sharp Decline in UK Business Confidence Amid Economic Worries

Overview of Lloyds Business Barometer Findings

Significant Drop in Economic Outlook Confidence

LONDON, April 30 (Reuters) - British businesses' confidence about the economic outlook fell this month by the most since April 2020 although their assessment of their own prospects was less downbeat, a survey by Lloyds showed on Thursday.

The net balance in confidence about the wider economy in monthly Lloyds Business Barometer sank by 17 points to +33 while businesses' confidence in their own trading outlook fell by 6 points to +54.

Factors Influencing Business Sentiment

"Businesses told us their confidence fell as inflation pressures re-emerged, global uncertainty persisted and costs remained elevated," said Amanda Murphy, chief executive officer for Lloyds Business and Commercial Banking.

Comparison with Previous Months and Other Surveys

Lloyds' headline business confidence balance fell to +44 in April from +55 in March and remains above its long-run average of +30. March's reading was the highest since November 2015, despite the start of U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, which led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to soar.

The survey has generally painted a more upbeat picture of business sentiment than comparable surveys from the Confederation of British Industry or S&P Global.

Survey Methodology and Additional Information

The Lloyds survey was based on responses from 1,200 firms with annual sales of at least 250,000 pounds ($337,200), collected by polling company Ipsos from April 1 to April 16.

($1 = 0.7414 pounds)

(Reporting by David MillikenEditing by William Schomberg)

Key Takeaways

  • Worry about the wider economy surged, with economic optimism down 17 points to +33—the biggest monthly slump since April 2020, yet still slightly above Lloyds’ long‑run average of +30.
  • Confidence in firms’ own trading prospects dipped by 6 points to +54, showing better resilience than wider economic sentiment.
  • The downturn coincides with resurfacing inflationary cost pressures, persistent global uncertainty, and elevated operating expenses tied to Middle East tensions and oil‑price volatility.
  • Lloyds’ headline business confidence index fell to +44 in April from +55 in March—the highest since November 2015—highlighting a notable month‑on‑month shift, albeit from a strong base.
  • Other surveys, such as the CBI’s Growth Indicator, align with this cooling sentiment: private‑sector activity expectations are now negative (–25), marking the weakest outlook since December 2025.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did the Lloyds April survey reveal about UK business confidence?
The Lloyds survey showed the largest drop in UK business confidence about the economic outlook since April 2020.
How did businesses describe current challenges?
Businesses cited re-emerging inflation pressures, persistent global uncertainty, and elevated costs as key challenges.
How many firms participated in the Lloyds survey?
1,200 UK firms with annual sales of at least £250,000 participated in the survey.
How do the Lloyds survey results compare to other reports?
Lloyds' survey painted a more positive picture of business sentiment than surveys from the Confederation of British Industry or S&P Global.

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